FootyStats Takes A Statistical Look At Inter’s 2018/2019 Season

FootyStats Takes A Statistical Look At Inter’s 2018/2019 Season
April 8, 2019 18:00
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Season So Far

Inter are never too far away from an off-the-field controversy and this season, above all, will probably be remembered for the numerous disputes within the camp. Rumours suggest both Icardi and Luciano Spalletti will depart at the end of the season.

It’s a shame, as progress has certainly been made. At the time of writing, Inter Milan sit 3rd in Serie A after a 0-0 draw with Atalanta on Sunday evening. A point I’m sure Spalletti will be happy with upon reflection, and a point gained for Atalanta too as AC Milan were defeated by Juventus on Saturday.

After 31 games, Inter can boast a 55% win ratio in the league this season. As you might have guessed, only Napoli and Juventus has higher. Interestingly, this statistic does not always dictate the league positioning with Lazio (6th) and Atalanta (5th) both having a better win ratio than AC Milan, who currently occupy the final Champions League places.

After 31 games, Inter can boast a 55% win ratio in the league this season. As you might have guessed, only Napoli and Juventus has higher. Interestingly, this statistic does not always dictate the league positioning with Lazio (6th) and Atalanta (5th) both having a better win ratio than AC Milan, who currently occupy the final Champions League places.

More: Serie A form

Goals Scored

Inter has scored 47 goals from 31 games in the league this season, averaging 1.52 goals per game. They have netted every 59 minutes on average. This puts them 12th in the scoring charts. It’s not great, and you can attribute this to a poor run of scoring form that happened between December and February.

During this stretch of 9 low-scoring games, Inter failed to score more than once in any game. This run of games came to an end just as Icardi was exiled from the team and, interestingly, the goals started to flow again. We detail this period of form in the following section.

Last season, Inter managed to score more goals across the full Serie A season and averaged 1.74 goals per game.

Inter doesn’t always start their games in a slow fashion but *has* recorded the majority of their goals in the second-half of games. Just 36% of goals (scored and conceded) have come in the first-half. They have failed to score in the first-half of games on 18 occasions this season, including a run of 10 games where they found the back of the net just once in the first 45 minutes.

More: Serie A Top Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

There’s been some brilliant defending in Serie A. For Inter Milan, they can be happy with the consistency in which they have defended. So far, they have conceded 25 goals in 31 games, equating to an average of 0.81 goals per game. The only team with a better defensive record this season is Juventus, who has conceded just 0.63 goals per game.

If there was a place where Inter could improve, it would be away from home. If there was a place where they should be lauded, it’s their solid defensive home record.

When playing at San Siro, the Nerazzurri have conceded just 0.47 goals per game, keeping a clean sheet in 60% of their games this season, including Sundays draw with Atalanta. Many will remember the superb start they had to the season, keeping a clean sheet in 7 consecutive home games.

No team has scored more away goals this season than Atalanta, so keeping them at bay on Sunday should not be understated.

Away from San Siro, Inter has conceded 18 goals in 16 games. It’s not bad at all really. The side with the greatest away defence, aside from Juventus, is Torino. Walter Mazzarri’s side has conceded just 13 goals on their travels. I would like to note that they have played a couple fewer fixtures, but still, the average for goals conceded is much better.

More: Serie A Goals Conceded

During Icardi’s Absence

Mauro Icardi made his long-awaited return from exile last Wednesday evening, contributing to a comfortable 4-0 victory at Genoa. This is the 3rd time in the past 4 games that Luciano Spalletti’s side has scored 3 or more goals away from home and it’s likely this goal scoring run could continue yet, with Frosinone (19th) up next on the away calendar.

Before returning to action, the Argentinian’s last game for Nerazzurri was at the beginning of February in a tight victory against Parma. He was not in the best form of his life before his leave of absence, failing to score in his last 7 games.

In those games leading up to his exile, Inter Milan failed to score more than once. How will his return effect the side, and how did they manage without him?

Well, Inter found their groove once Icardi was removed from the side. After failing to score more than a single goal in the previous 7 fixtures, they went on to score 11 in the next 5 games. What’s really interesting is that we saw 9 different goal scorers.

Form and Remaining Fixtures

Inter’s form quite clearly dipped in December, as previously mentioned. I don’t think they would have had enough this season to close the gap on Napoli and Juventus but it would have certainly been interesting to see what could have been if they were slightly more consistent across the whole season and could have avoided from internal politics.

They initially started the season slowly, picking up 4 points from 3 games. However, they soon got into their stride and won the next 7 games, shooting them up the table. It’s this run that has given them the foundation for the rest of the season. Since then, they have lost 6 games. The majority of these games, as you might expect, were against teams of similar quality. However, Spalletti will look back at defeats to Bologna and Cagliari as missed opportunities. Victories in those games would put them a point behind Napoli at this stage.

There’s 7 games remaining and Inter currently has 3 wins from the past 5 games, scoring 9 goals in the process. The single defeat during that spell was at to Lazio, a very unusual game where the home side had 23 shots on goal but just couldn’t find the back of the net.

In the last 6 home games, Inter Milan has failed to find the back of the net in 4 of those games. Are Inter fans worried by this, or are we just witnessing a blip in goalscoring form? As we detailed earlier in the article, there’s no issue on the road.

Inter still has to play Roma (H), Juventus (H) and Napoli (A). Did you know, there’s only been a single goal in the last 4 meetings between Napoli and Inter?

Where do you think Inter Milan will finish this season? Spalletti told the press he’s more valuable than both Messi and Ronaldo, but how will the side perform now that they have their ex-captain back in the side? Can Inter put this all behind them and focus on the football?

Let us know in the comments below

Editorial Staff
By Editorial Staff

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